Douglas Dynamics Inc Stock Forecast
Douglas Dynamics Inc stock price up 1.15% on Monday
(Updated on May 06, 2024)
The Douglas Dynamics Inc stock price gained 1.15% on the last trading day (Monday, 6th May 2024), rising from $23.54 to $23.81. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.92% from a day low at $23.66 to a day high of $24.12. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.13% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -9 thousand shares and in total, 150 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.57 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -11.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $18.51 and $21.09 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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PLOW Signals & Forecast
The Douglas Dynamics Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $22.97 and $22.91. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has risen 9.98%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Douglas Dynamics Inc stock
Douglas Dynamics Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $23.22 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.455 (1.92%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.74%.
The Douglas Dynamics Inc stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $22.94 (-3.64%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 93 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 15 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (PLOW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect Douglas Dynamics Inc to open at $23.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $23.17 and $24.45, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.645 (+/-2.71%) up or down from last closing price. If Douglas Dynamics Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $23.22 (2.48%) than the resistance at $24.78 (4.07%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Douglas Dynamics Inc stock A Buy?
Douglas Dynamics Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Douglas Dynamics Inc of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$23.86 ( 0.217%) | $23.81 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PLOW
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 24.32 | 2.13 % | |
R2 | 24.14 | 1.40 % | ||
R1 | 24.04 | 0.95 % | ||
Current price: | 23.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 23.69 | -0.513 % | |
S2 | 23.58 | -0.96 % | ||
S3 | 23.41 | -1.69 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 25.69 | 7.90 % | |
R2 | 25.55 | 7.31 % | ||
R1 | 24.78 | 4.07 % | ||
Current price | 23.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 23.22 | -2.48% | |
S2 | 23.04 | -3.23% | ||
S3 | 22.74 | -4.49% |
PLOW Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 26, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | $0.295 | 1.22% |
2 | Dec 06, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.295 | 0.99% |
3 | Sep 06, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.300 | 0.99% |
4 | Jun 05, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.295 | 0.99% |
5 | Feb 20, 2023 | Mar 16, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.295 | 0.93% |
FAQ
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